Mortality in a global influenza pandemic

The same Web of Science alert brought this to my attention.

The Lancet for 23rd December publishes a paper by researchers from Harvard, Queensland and Johns Hopkins, which uses mortality data from the 1918-1920 influenza pandemic to estimate a figure for deaths for any pandemic now, and which parts of the world are likely to be most affected.

Link to article: doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(06)69895-4